14 profitable sure bets: odds that guarantee profit

Betting relies on probability to get an outcome. No one, even the sportsbooks have control over the outcome. In most cases, the house has the added advantage since every time the gamer gets it wrong, they profit. Sure bets for today ensure that the gamer goes home with a bonus or cashback, irrespective of the betting outcome. It may be sportsbook engineered or the gamer’s wittiness.

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What are sure bets? 

Sure bets, also known as arbitrage betting, is a betting style that guarantees profit to the gamer, irrespective of the outcome. In every bet you stake, there is a take-home, win or lose. The guaranteed result might be a mix up in odds where any possible market fronted gives the bettor an advantage.

Gamers like it since it reduces betting losses and consolidates their earnings. Although it is legal, some bookies do not condone arbing as it reduces their take-home margin.

A detailed explanation of this famous sports betting term

As gamers grew, they tried different ways to increase their winnings from betting. Technology came in and improved the gaming scenario but sometimes snapped to give the gamer added advantage. Procedures, where the gamer could simultaneously place bets on all markets, are the most common in arbing betting. Irrespective of the outcome, the bettor picked the winning selection. Direct outcome markets such as win-lose are the most common.

With time, gamers exploited weaknesses in odds provision between sportsbooks to increase their earnings. In an ideal scenario, bookies always have their total outcomes odds exceed 100% to gain the betting advantage. However, arbitrage betting comes in when the total odds outcome is less than 100%. The difference favours the bettors, which they exploit.

Arbing betting is legal, although sportsbooks do not entertain it. If a bettor successively wins, the bookies closely follow their activities to ascertain their sources. They might not reprimand him/her, limit their participation, or even close down the account without giving a reason.

Punters have arbing betting software that uses specialised algorithms to predict outcomes. Profit accumulators are good examples as they minimise losses by betting on 2 different outcomes. Matched betting also forms part of sure bets where gamers benefit from free bets and other incentives. They are risk-free and the gamer can take home winnings without spending any of their monies.

Example of a sure bet

Any risk-free proceeds gained in a market is a sure bet, with the price-difference as the most common method. The difference in odds value of the same event on different bookmakers creates the price difference. Picking the best odd from each market makes a margin less than 100%, which is the gamer’s advantage or arbitrage betting.

For example, if sure bet for today on bookie 1 is 1.30 on player/team 1 and 3.93 on player/team 2 (margin 102.4%). In the same event, bookie 2 has 1.42 and 2.90 on players/teams 1 and 2, respectively (104.9% margin). The arbitrage for the market is 1.42 on player/team 1 and 3.93 on player/team 2, creating a 95.9% margin. The 4.1% difference is the arbitrage advantage.

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Is sure betting still an option in 2021?

Betting is now a serious investment to some people. Although they might not take it as a full-time engagement, they ensure maximum returns for every coin they spend on the bookmaker. Since arbing betting helps reduce the risk of losing significantly, it is a popular function in gaming in 2021.

Currently, there are software and websites that calculate arbitrage betting, commonly known as odds comparison websites. They rank bookies on odds value and present the best in each market. However, both the bookies and players can access these platforms and might update their odds in real-time. The back and forth creates intense price wars, and sometimes close the odds value gap.

To get the best arbing betting information, use real-time software to note the differences in odds and act spontaneously. Also, utilise the odds margin before they realise and close it down. Lastly, consider less followed sports since it doesn’t matter which sport it is, but its odds value difference.

Arbitrage betting over the time

Gambling is a lucrative business, especially in Europe. The probabilities used to get betting odds (overround) significantly influenced odds. However, companies create sure bets, either knowingly or unknowingly, to improve customer’s chances of winning. For over 20 years, there is a decrease in price of odds but an increase in sure bets, especially in the top 5 leagues.

Bookmaker analysis is the new gaming trend, with odds comparison and punter sites cropping up every day. Gamers can analyse markets and odds for a guaranteed win without necessarily signing up to multiple sites. The bookmaker’s subjective view on odds pricing makes it more lucrative for the players.

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Why do sure bet opportunities occur?

Bookmaking base their odds valuation on specific factors in the sport. Since they are in the same field and test almost the same features, any contradiction leads to significant variations. Their difference in opinion causes arbitrage.

Some sportsbook would want to be unique and create and execute a promotion for a competition. To attract more gamers, they entice them with good odds, making a big difference with the overall market value. The difference creates arbitrage, which creates sure bet opportunities.

With the coming of odds comparison sites, bookmakers update their odds in real-time to kill the gamer’s advantage. If the bookie delays updating their odds, it can create an arbitrage opportunity, especially if the difference is significant.

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How much profit can I make?

The amount in profits one can make is the difference between the total odds outcome in one market when comparing 2 bookies. When staking on both markets, the percentage difference forms the odds advantage. Irrespective of the outcome on either market, the gamer has a guaranteed win on either of the 2 sportsbooks. The profit margin depends on the stake amount and the guaranteed profit, which is between 1-8%.

However, go for markets that do not have many following and have a wider marginal difference. Also, consider using verified odds comparison websites to give you accurate information on the odds value. Lastly, space out your arbitrage betting to avoid the hawk-eyed support staff if they suspect you.

What bookies think about arbing?

Since arbing reduces bookies chance of making money, many reprimand gamers who use it. However, they can never avoid it since their weaknesses create the avenue for arbitrage. Nevertheless, progressive sportsbook such as Pinnacle is embracing this technology to benefit both the gamer and sportsbook.

They focus on the number of bets, not why you should bet on Pinnacle. Also, they trust their processes to give them the most appropriate odds best suited for the market. With these open opportunities, gamers interested in arbitrage betting consider Pinnacle as they don’t penalise them for being creative.

Is sure betting legal?

There is nothing criminal in sure betting. Since betting is a game of probability, as long as there is a chance either of the parties can win, it is fair. However, bookies do not like arbitrage betting as it reduces the house advantage on select markets. They can block or deactivate your account if they confirm you are taking advantage of the system to gain the betting advantage.

With time, more bookies might embrace arbing since it is healthy and gives both the sportsbook and the gamer a chance to win a bet.

Can I get caught arbing?

Yes. However, most bookies do not have a detector for arbing. All they can follow is your betting patterns. If you consistently win your bets by selecting arbing-prone games, they might zero down on you and limit your account. You might lose winnings accrued from arbitrage betting and sometimes other unrelated amounts. To curb such heart-wrenching setbacks, occasionally, bet on different markets to mix up your betting history and lure auditors away from your account. Also, do not participate in all arbitrage prone markets. Let some go for the sake of the greater good.

Advantages & Disadvantages of sure betting

Arbing mainly benefits the player since it eats into the house advantage on selected markets. It guarantees the outcome for every stake you make on selected markets. Well researched markets can bring home close to 100% returns on all stakes made on the bookie. Some betting enthusiasts consider arbing a career as they expect some money at the end of each bet.

Gamers who use arbing are analytic; they decipher betting matrices and find features used for gaming. Such abilities increase your winning percentage, which makes gaming a worthwhile hobby. However, such luck can land you into loggerheads with bookies.

Progressive bookies like Pinnacle embrace arbing betting and provides an enabling platform to rejig your analytic abilities. They have no sanctions or limitations for cracking their business model. However, their markets are not quickly cornered, and if they are, you cannot win consecutively. It indulges the top gaming brains in creating a platform where anyone can come and bet without restrictions.

However, it is not all rosy with arbitrage, especially with bookies. Traditionally, it wasn’t there since betting was left to chance. However, with technology, people are looking for ways to maximise their knowledge. The obvious thing any bookmaker would do is block the perceived account from accessing the betting site. Taking away the bookies advantage means a reduction in gaming revenue, which with time will significantly tame their influence.

Also, bookies still abhorring arbitrage, lose their market advantage with time. Bookmakers embrace technology, and the best way to stay relevant is either tightening the loopholes or embracing it with clear guidelines.

Excessive arbing promotes money laundering since the probability of winning is close to 100%. Crooks will use it as an avenue to clean their money. In essence, any concept that increases the chance of winning is good for the gamer but bad for the sportsbook.

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Major pitfalls around the sure bets strategy

Winning is good, but bookies can use their powers to tame your influence when the frequency is high. They reserve the right to block or remove your account from their roll. The first thing that comes to mind is account closure. If the gamer consistently wins bets with huge margins, the bookie can close it down in fear of losses. It is the most severe of all pitfalls.

The second thing is limiting the stake. Gamers can only bet up to a certain amount. The sportsbook controls the amount the game can stake at a given time to cut down their winnings. The stake limitation still allows betting, although to some extent.

If the gamer is consistent on specific types of bets, which they ultimately win, the betting firm can cancel it. It works since not all betting markets have arbing opportunities. Of the 3 pitfalls, bet cancellations follow account cancellation in intensity.

Sure betting risks

For every discovery, there are risks, especially if it threatens the business lifeline. Arbing tries to control the bookie’s dominance as the betting favourite. It might not be illegal but contravenes some gaming terms and conditions.

Bookies term these pitfalls as technological errors but penalises gamers for exploiting them. Sure bets not only exposes the sportsbook’s weaknesses but also attracts limitations to the bettor’s account. If you have to do it, be wise to avoid scrutiny. Otherwise, risks in betting will always be there since even gaming is a risk in itself.

Conclusion: Is sure betting worth being considered?

Betting is a game of chances, and whenever there is an opportunity, take it. Arbing utilises system mishaps to transfer the house advantage to the gamer. Whereas this overturns the gaming business model, being lucky does not happen every day. Therefore, if you get a chance, utilise the arbing advantage.

However, to continue benefiting from this discovery, take care of your exploits since any trace can lead to severe actions against you. The bookie has the ultimate power over what happens on their platform. They ensure you agree to it before gaining access to the forum. Avoid arbing back to back. Also, do not withdraw large sums of money in succession as it might raise eyebrows. Above all, mix your bets with others to keep the bet auditors off your back.

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